Language:English
Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Prediction 29.11%3.43fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.543%
Kelly +0.760%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%29.07%29.15%30.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.173.203.5035.09%31.57%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 43.33%2.31fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%43.32%43.38%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.112.122.2150.51%47.44%47.28%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.61%27.47%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5233.33%30.29%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arka Gdynia (Local): 29.11%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 43.33%; Draw: 27.56%. For Arka Gdynia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV +1.90%E +0.543%K +0.760%G +0.014% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -5.75%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.56%EV -4.24%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.00%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 15:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -11.61%E -5.69%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 15:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.00%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 06:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 03:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 07:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.34%EV -12.08%E -4.00%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.43%EV -10.99%E -3.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 15:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 07:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.21%E -7.18%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 08:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.57%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-19 07:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-19 07:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.03%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-17 08:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |