Szkoła Kursów

Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Białystok

Początek: 2026-04-19 15:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Arka Gdynia 0–3 Jagiellonia Białystok

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 29.11%3.43kurs godziwy
EV +1.90%
Przewaga +0.543%
Kelly +0.760%
Wzrost +0.014%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.16%29.07%29.15%30.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.173.203.5035.09%31.57%31.25%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Goście)

Prognoza 43.33%2.31kurs godziwy
EV -4.24%
Przewaga -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.21

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.01%43.32%43.38%45.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.982.112.122.2150.51%47.44%47.28%45.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.56%3.63kurs godziwy
EV -3.00%
Przewaga -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.53%27.61%27.47%28.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.303.303.5233.33%30.29%30.30%28.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV +1.90%E +0.543%K +0.760%G +0.014%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -5.75%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.56%EV -4.24%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.00%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:20
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:25
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 15:01
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:50
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -11.61%E -5.69%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 14:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 22:24
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 15:25
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 15:01
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:24
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 15:25
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.00%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 14:50
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 06:58
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 03:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:24
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 07:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 15:10
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 22:24
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.34%EV -12.08%E -4.00%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.43%EV -10.99%E -3.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 15:03
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 07:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-16 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-16 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 15:05
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.21%E -7.18%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 08:14
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.57%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 07:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.03%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-17 08:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-04-19 15:05