Школа коэффициентов

Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Białystok

Начало: 2026-04-19 15:30 UTC

Итог: Arka Gdynia 0–3 Jagiellonia Białystok

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.11%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.90%
Преимущество +0.543%
Kelly +0.760%
Рост +0.014%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.16%29.07%29.15%30.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.173.203.5035.09%31.57%31.25%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Гости)

Прогноз 43.33%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.24%
Преимущество -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.21

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.01%43.32%43.38%45.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.982.112.122.2150.51%47.44%47.28%45.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.56%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.00%
Преимущество -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.52

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.53%27.61%27.47%28.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.303.303.5233.33%30.29%30.30%28.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV +1.90%E +0.543%K +0.760%G +0.014%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -5.75%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.56%EV -4.24%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.00%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:20
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:25
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 15:01
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:50
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -11.61%E -5.69%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 14:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 22:24
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 15:25
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 15:01
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:24
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 15:25
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.00%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 14:50
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 06:58
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 03:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:24
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 07:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 15:10
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 22:24
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.34%EV -12.08%E -4.00%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.43%EV -10.99%E -3.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 15:03
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 07:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-16 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-16 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 15:05
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.21%E -7.18%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 08:14
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.57%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 07:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.03%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-17 08:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-04-19 15:05