La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Białystok
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Predicción 29.11%3.43momio equitativo
EV +1.90%
Ventaja +0.543%
Kelly +0.760%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%29.07%29.15%30.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.173.203.5035.09%31.57%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)
Predicción 43.33%2.31momio equitativo
EV -4.24%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%43.32%43.38%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.112.122.2150.51%47.44%47.28%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.53%27.61%27.47%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.5233.33%30.29%30.30%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV +1.90%E +0.543%K +0.760%G +0.014% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -5.75%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.56%EV -4.24%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.00%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 15:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -11.61%E -5.69%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 15:01 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:24 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 15:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.00%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 06:58 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 03:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 15:24 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 07:59 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.34%EV -12.08%E -4.00%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.43%EV -10.99%E -3.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 15:03 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 07:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.21%E -7.18%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 08:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.57%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-19 07:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-19 07:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.03%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-17 08:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |