A Escola das Odds

Arka Gdynia v Jagiellonia Białystok

Início: 2026-04-19 15:30 UTC

Final: Arka Gdynia 0–3 Jagiellonia Białystok

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Local)

Previsão 29.11%3.43odd justa
EV +1.90%
Vantagem +0.543%
Kelly +0.760%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.16%29.07%29.15%30.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.173.203.5035.09%31.57%31.25%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)

Previsão 43.33%2.31odd justa
EV -4.24%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.01%43.32%43.38%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.982.112.122.2150.51%47.44%47.28%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.56%3.63odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%27.61%27.47%28.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.303.303.5233.33%30.29%30.30%28.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV +1.90%E +0.543%K +0.760%G +0.014%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -5.75%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -8.14%E -3.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:50
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.56%EV -4.24%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.00%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:20
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.41%E -2.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -4.51%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.58%E -4.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:25
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 15:01
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -10.74%E -5.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:50
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -11.61%E -5.69%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 14:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 22:24
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 15:25
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 15:01
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:24
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 15:25
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.00%EV -12.48%E -6.18%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 14:50
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 06:58
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.28%E -3.40%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 03:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:24
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 07:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 15:10
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 22:24
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.34%EV -12.08%E -4.00%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.43%EV -10.99%E -3.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 15:03
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 07:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-16 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-16 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 15:05
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.21%E -7.18%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 08:14
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.57%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -16.15%E -5.61%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.66%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 07:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.03%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.34%E -6.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-17 08:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-04-19 15:05