The School of Odds

Vålerenga v Aalesund

2026-07-16 17:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Prediction 55.00%1.82fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.10%55.03%54.98%55.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.691.7363%60%59%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.47%22.30%22.28%23.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.654.134.204.3927%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.91%22.67%22.74%23.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.703.993.954.2927%25%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.26%EV -4.41%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.53%EV -3.69%E -0.870%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 11:59
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.00%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%EV -7.08%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.18%EV -2.55%E -0.595%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 12:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 12:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 12:00
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.47%EV -2.18%E -0.496%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.39%EV -8.46%E -2.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:59
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:59
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 11:59
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.41%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 11:59
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 12:00
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.05%E -4.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 12:00
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.26%EV -7.05%E -4.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.73%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 11:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.05%E -4.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 11:59
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.60%E -4.52%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.41%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.46%E -0.815%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 11:59
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 11:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 11:59
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 11:58
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 12:00
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 11:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.14%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 11:58
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -8.70%E -5.24%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -9.25%E -5.60%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.90%E -6.73%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-13 12:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -10.90%E -6.73%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -16.44%E -4.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -14.82%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-13 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -11.45%E -7.11%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.98%E -3.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-13 11:59
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -11.45%E -7.11%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.82%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-13 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -12.00%E -7.50%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.18%EV -11.98%E -3.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -13.68%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-13 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.77%EV -13.10%E -8.29%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.27%EV -18.67%E -5.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.96%EV -15.96%E -4.31%K -5.91%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%8.5%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%8.5%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%8.5%2026-07-13 12:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%9.8%2026-07-13 12:00