La escuela de los momiosVålerenga v Aalesund
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vålerenga (Local)
Predicción 56.99%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.59%56.97%57.04%58.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7164.52%61.00%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aalesund (Visitante)
Predicción 21.24%4.71momio equitativo
EV +4.07%
Ventaja +0.832%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.36%21.24%21.17%22.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.304.304.9026.32%23.25%23.26%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.77%4.59momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.496%
Kelly +0.630%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%21.79%21.79%23.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.154.154.7026.67%24.12%24.10%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV +4.07%E +0.832%K +1.04%G +0.043% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -1.24%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -9.64%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.92%EV -1.45%E -0.312%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -1.87%E -0.405%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV +2.33%E +0.496%K +0.630%G +0.015% | 3.5% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-16 14:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.49%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -3.36%E -0.738%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%EV -3.55%E -0.801%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.79%EV -5.48%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 15:03 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.20%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| betano_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 16:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 16:19 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.78%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.73%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.50%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 13:35 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-16 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-16 14:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 16:10 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.05%EV -9.96%E -6.30%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-16 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-16 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-16 15:05 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-16 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.92%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-16 15:00 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -18.35%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -11.10%E -7.11%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -16.10%E -4.08%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-16 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.67%E -7.53%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.29%E -5.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-07-16 16:10 |