A Escola das Odds

Vålerenga v Aalesund

Início: 2026-07-16 17:00 UTC

Final: Vålerenga 6–1 Aalesund

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Previsão 56.99%1.75odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -3.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.59%56.97%57.04%58.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.651.7164.52%61.00%60.61%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aalesund (Visitante)

Previsão 21.24%4.71odd justa
EV +4.07%
Vantagem +0.832%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.043%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.36%21.24%21.17%22.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.304.304.9026.32%23.25%23.26%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.77%4.59odd justa
EV +2.33%
Vantagem +0.496%
Kelly +0.630%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.55%21.79%21.79%23.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.154.154.7026.67%24.12%24.10%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV +4.07%E +0.832%K +1.04%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 16:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -1.24%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -9.64%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 16:05
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.92%EV -1.45%E -0.312%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -1.87%E -0.405%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV +2.33%E +0.496%K +0.630%G +0.015%3.5%2026-07-16 16:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 14:38
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-16 16:20
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.49%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -3.36%E -0.738%K -0.946%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%EV -3.55%E -0.801%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 15:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.79%EV -5.48%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 15:03
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.20%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 14:15
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 14:35
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 16:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 16:19
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.78%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.73%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.50%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 13:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 14:55
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 14:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-16 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 14:14
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 16:10
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.05%EV -9.96%E -6.30%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 14:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 11:59
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 15:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 14:15
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 15:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-16 14:15
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-16 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.92%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 15:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 15:10
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 15:10
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -18.35%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-13 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -11.10%E -7.11%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -16.10%E -4.08%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-16 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.67%E -7.53%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.29%E -5.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-16 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-16 16:10