مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vålerenga v Aalesund

البداية: 2026-07-16 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Vålerenga 6–1 Aalesund

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vålerenga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.99%1.75السعر العادل
EV -2.55%
الأفضلية -1.49%
Kelly -3.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.59%56.97%57.04%58.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.641.651.7164.52%61.00%60.61%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aalesund (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.24%4.71السعر العادل
EV +4.07%
الأفضلية +0.832%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.043%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.36%21.24%21.17%22.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.304.304.9026.32%23.25%23.26%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.77%4.59السعر العادل
EV +2.33%
الأفضلية +0.496%
Kelly +0.630%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.55%21.79%21.79%23.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.154.154.7026.67%24.12%24.10%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV +4.07%E +0.832%K +1.04%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 16:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -1.24%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -9.64%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 16:05
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.92%EV -1.45%E -0.312%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -1.87%E -0.405%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV +2.33%E +0.496%K +0.630%G +0.015%3.5%2026-07-16 16:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 14:38
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-16 16:20
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.49%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -3.36%E -0.738%K -0.946%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%EV -3.55%E -0.801%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 15:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.79%EV -5.48%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 15:03
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.20%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 14:15
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 14:35
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 16:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 16:19
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.78%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.73%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.50%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 13:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 14:55
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 14:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-16 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 16:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 14:14
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 16:10
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.05%EV -9.96%E -6.30%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 14:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 11:59
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 12:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 15:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 14:15
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 15:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-16 14:15
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-16 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.92%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 15:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 15:10
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 15:10
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -18.35%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-13 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -11.10%E -7.11%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -16.10%E -4.08%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-16 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.67%E -7.53%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.29%E -5.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-16 16:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-07-16 16:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-16 16:10