L’École des cotesVålerenga v Aalesund
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vålerenga (Local)
Prévision 56.99%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.59%56.97%57.04%58.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.651.7164.52%61.00%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Aalesund (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.24%4.71cote équitable
EV +4.07%
Avantage +0.832%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.36%21.24%21.17%22.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.304.304.9026.32%23.25%23.26%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.77%4.59cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.496%
Kelly +0.630%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%21.79%21.79%23.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.154.154.7026.67%24.12%24.10%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV +4.07%E +0.832%K +1.04%G +0.043% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -1.24%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -9.64%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.92%EV -1.45%E -0.312%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -1.87%E -0.405%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV +2.33%E +0.496%K +0.630%G +0.015% | 3.5% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-16 14:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -2.30%E -0.499%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.49%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -3.36%E -0.738%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%EV -3.55%E -0.801%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -4.42%E -0.983%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.79%EV -5.48%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 15:03 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.20%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| betano_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 16:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.55%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 16:19 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.78%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.73%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.50%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 13:35 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-16 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.03%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -2.02%E -0.450%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-16 14:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 16:10 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.05%EV -9.96%E -6.30%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-16 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.73%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.00%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -16.18%E -4.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-16 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.73%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-16 15:05 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-16 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.79%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.92%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.38%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-16 15:00 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-16 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.04%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -18.35%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -11.10%E -7.11%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -16.10%E -4.08%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-16 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.67%E -7.53%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.29%E -5.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.91%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-07-16 16:10 |