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Sarpsborg FK v Lillestrom

2026-11-22 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prediction 41.00%2.44fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.27%42.33%40.65%49.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.051.962.3855.56%48.81%50.89%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 34.80%2.87fair odd
EV +25.28%
Edge +7.02%
Kelly +9.72%
Growth +2.46%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%33.55%35.00%37.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.303.033.103.6043.48%33.01%32.26%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -0.776%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.25%24.12%24.35%25.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.753.804.1028.99%26.63%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 41.00%; Lillestrom (Visit): 34.80%; Draw: 24.20%. For Lillestrom (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 13 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +25.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -24.56%E -13.35%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-11 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -24.97%E -13.65%K -30.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-11 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -25.38%E -13.95%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.776%E -0.189%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -8.98%E -4.05%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -1.99%E -0.490%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 12:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.20%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-11 12:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.94%EV -4.99%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-11 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -6.11%E -2.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -7.43%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-11 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-11 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-11 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.61%EV -10.62%E -4.87%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -17.17%E -7.22%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-11 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -18.22%E -7.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.23%EV -15.95%E -7.78%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.86%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.91%EV -16.51%E -4.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-11 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (2586 combinations) +6.17%William Hill 2.38 (44.6%) / BetRivers 3.60 (29.5%) / Betsson 4.10 (25.9%)Show all 2586 combinations
Sarpsborg FK (Local)Lillestrom (Visit)DrawMargin
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.1%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.2%)+4.90%

Showing 50 of 2586 combinations