L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Sarpsborg FK v Lillestrom

2026-11-22 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 41.00%2.44cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.27%42.33%40.65%49.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.802.051.962.3855.56%48.81%50.89%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.80%2.87cote équitable
EV +25.28%
Avantage +7.02%
Kelly +9.72%
Croissance +2.46%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%33.55%35.00%37.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.303.033.103.6043.48%33.01%32.26%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV -0.776%
Avantage -0.189%
Kelly -0.250%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.25%24.12%24.35%25.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.753.804.1028.99%26.63%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Sarpsborg FK (Local) : 41.00% ; Lillestrom (Visiteur) : 34.80% ; Match nul : 24.20%. Pour Lillestrom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.87. 13 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +25.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -24.56%E -13.35%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-11 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -24.97%E -13.65%K -30.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-11 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -25.38%E -13.95%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.776%E -0.189%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -8.98%E -4.05%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -1.99%E -0.490%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 12:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.20%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-11 12:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.94%EV -4.99%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-11 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -6.11%E -2.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -7.43%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-11 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-11 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-11 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.61%EV -10.62%E -4.87%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -17.17%E -7.22%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-11 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -18.22%E -7.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.23%EV -15.95%E -7.78%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.86%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.91%EV -16.51%E -4.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-11 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Arbitrage (2586 combinaisons) +6.17%William Hill 2.38 (44.6%) / BetRivers 3.60 (29.5%) / Betsson 4.10 (25.9%)Afficher les 2586 combinaisons
Sarpsborg FK (Local)Lillestrom (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.1%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.2%)+4.90%

50 combinaisons affichées sur 2586