مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Sarpsborg FK v Lillestrom

2026-11-22 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

نتيجة المباراة

26 شركة مراهنات (5 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Sarpsborg FK (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.00%2.44السعر العادل
EV -2.43%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -1.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.27%42.33%40.65%49.58%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.051.962.3855.56%48.81%50.89%42.02%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Lillestrom (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.80%2.87السعر العادل
EV +25.28%
الأفضلية +7.02%
Kelly +9.72%
النمو +2.46%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.89%33.55%35.00%37.21%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.303.033.103.6043.48%33.01%32.26%27.78%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.20%4.13السعر العادل
EV -0.776%
الأفضلية -0.189%
Kelly -0.250%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.25%24.12%24.35%25.30%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.753.804.1028.99%26.63%26.32%24.39%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Sarpsborg FK (المضيف)⁩: ⁨41.00%⁩؛ ⁨Lillestrom (الضيف)⁩: ⁨34.80%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨24.20%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Lillestrom (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.87⁩. تعرض 13 شركة مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨3.60⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+25.28%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (26 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -24.56%E -13.35%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-11 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -24.97%E -13.65%K -30.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-11 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -25.38%E -13.95%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.776%E -0.189%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -8.98%E -4.05%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -1.99%E -0.490%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 12:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.20%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-11 12:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.94%EV -4.99%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-11 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -6.11%E -2.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -7.43%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-11 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-11 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-11 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.61%EV -10.62%E -4.87%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -17.17%E -7.22%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-11 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -18.22%E -7.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.23%EV -15.95%E -7.78%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.86%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.91%EV -16.51%E -4.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-11 12:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

المراجحة (2586 تركيبة) +6.17%William Hill 2.38 (44.6%) / BetRivers 3.60 (29.5%) / Betsson 4.10 (25.9%)عرض التركيبات كلها وعددها 2586
Sarpsborg FK (المضيف)Lillestrom (الضيف)تعادلالهامش
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.1%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.2%)+4.90%

عرض 50 من أصل 2586 تركيبة