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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sarpsborg FK v Lillestrom

2026-11-22 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

26 corredores (5 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Predicción 41.00%2.44momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.27%42.33%40.65%49.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.802.051.962.3855.56%48.81%50.89%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lillestrom (Visitante)

Predicción 34.80%2.87momio equitativo
EV +25.28%
Ventaja +7.02%
Kelly +9.72%
Crecimiento +2.46%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%33.55%35.00%37.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.303.033.103.6043.48%33.01%32.26%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.20%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.776%
Ventaja -0.189%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.25%24.12%24.35%25.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.753.804.1028.99%26.63%26.32%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 41.00%; Lillestrom (Visitante): 34.80%; Empate: 24.20%. Para Lillestrom (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.87. 13 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +25.28%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -24.56%E -13.35%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-11 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -24.97%E -13.65%K -30.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-11 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -25.38%E -13.95%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.776%E -0.189%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -8.98%E -4.05%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -1.99%E -0.490%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 12:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.20%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-11 12:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.94%EV -4.99%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-11 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -6.11%E -2.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -7.43%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-11 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-11 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-11 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.61%EV -10.62%E -4.87%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -17.17%E -7.22%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-11 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -18.22%E -7.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.23%EV -15.95%E -7.78%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.86%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.91%EV -16.51%E -4.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-11 12:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Arbitraje (2586 combinaciones) +6.17%William Hill 2.38 (44.6%) / BetRivers 3.60 (29.5%) / Betsson 4.10 (25.9%)Ver las 2586 combinaciones
Sarpsborg FK (Local)Lillestrom (Visitante)EmpateMargen
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.1%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.2%)+4.90%

Mostrando 50 de 2586 combinaciones