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StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
+ Ny modellAlla modeller

Sarpsborg FK v Lillestrom

2026-11-22 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Matchresultat

26 spelbolag (5 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sarpsborg FK (Hemma)

Prognos 41.00%2.44rättvist odds
EV -2.43%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -1.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.27%42.33%40.65%49.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.802.051.962.3855.56%48.81%50.89%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Borta)

Prognos 34.80%2.87rättvist odds
EV +25.28%
Fördel +7.02%
Kelly +9.72%
Tillväxt +2.46%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.89%33.55%35.00%37.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.303.033.103.6043.48%33.01%32.26%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.20%4.13rättvist odds
EV -0.776%
Fördel -0.189%
Kelly -0.250%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.25%24.12%24.35%25.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.453.753.804.1028.99%26.63%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Sarpsborg FK (Hemma): 41.00%; Lillestrom (Borta): 34.80%; Oavgjort: 24.20%. För Lillestrom (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.87. 13 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.60, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +25.28%.

Spelbolagsodds (26 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -22.92%E -12.19%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +25.28%E +7.02%K +9.72%G +2.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -24.56%E -13.35%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-11 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -24.97%E -13.65%K -30.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-11 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -25.38%E -13.95%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV +20.06%E +5.82%K +8.19%G +1.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -26.20%E -14.56%K -32.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV +18.32%E +5.39%K +7.64%G +1.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.51%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.776%E -0.189%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -8.98%E -4.05%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -1.99%E -0.490%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 12:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.20%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-11 12:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.94%EV -4.99%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-11 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -6.11%E -2.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -7.43%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-11 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-11 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-11 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.61%EV -10.62%E -4.87%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -17.17%E -7.22%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-11 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -18.22%E -7.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-11 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-11 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.23%EV -15.95%E -7.78%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.86%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.91%EV -16.51%E -4.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-11 12:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Arbitrage (2586 kombinationer) +6.17%William Hill 2.38 (44.6%) / BetRivers 3.60 (29.5%) / Betsson 4.10 (25.9%)Visa alla 2586 kombinationer
Sarpsborg FK (Hemma)Lillestrom (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.5%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.9%)+6.17%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.4%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.1%)+5.84%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Betsson🎯 4.10 (25.7%)+5.57%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
William Hill🎯 2.38 (44.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.3%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.4%)+5.49%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)betPARX🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.35 (44.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (29.2%)NordicBet🎯 4.05 (26.0%)+5.24%
1xBet🎯 2.35 (44.6%)BetRivers🎯 3.60 (29.1%)Bovada🎯 4.00 (26.2%)+4.90%

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