Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 5.45
assuming max odds 4.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 58.70%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 19.20%; Draw: 22.10%. For Sarpsborg FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.59%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +4.63%E +0.849%K +1.04%G +0.048% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.91%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.87%EV +4.24%E +0.781%K +0.958%G +0.041% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.21%EV -3.42%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.92%EV +3.28%E +0.610%K +0.749%G +0.025% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.21%EV -4.09%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.63%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.06%EV +2.71%E +0.506%K +0.622%G +0.017% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.31%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -2.09%E -0.410%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.51%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.74%EV -3.05%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.69%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.42%EV -4.78%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.88%EV -6.96%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.18%EV -4.97%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.93%EV -8.43%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.03%EV -0.109%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -10.73%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.72%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -10.73%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -13.15%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.95%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.49%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.49%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -17.45%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.77%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -19.37%E -4.61%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -11.95%E -7.96%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
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