The School of Odds

Molde v Sarpsborg FK

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Molde (Local)

Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -8.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%55.43%55.22%57.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.671.7064.10%60.72%59.88%58.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sarpsborg FK (Visit)

Prediction 21.94%4.56fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.824%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.10%21.92%21.90%23.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.604.174.254.4327.78%24.01%23.53%22.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.593%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%22.65%22.88%23.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.704.024.004.3027.03%24.88%25.00%23.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.18%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.56%EV -2.83%E -0.638%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.26%EV -2.19%E -0.509%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 16:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:55
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.68%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:06
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.78%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.07%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 15:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.26%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 16:35
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 15:55
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.07%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.37%E -5.71%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.49%E -0.792%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -1.96%E -0.455%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 15:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 15:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.04%EV -11.02%E -6.85%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.68%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -3.10%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -11.58%E -7.24%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:51
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.58%E -7.24%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -13.79%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -12.67%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.61%EV -11.58%E -7.24%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -13.36%E -3.52%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 15:04
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.44%EV -11.58%E -7.24%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -17.74%E -4.73%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -11.08%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 15:10
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -13.24%E -8.43%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -10.07%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.22%E -3.17%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.76%EV -13.24%E -8.43%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -16.65%E -4.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.36%E -3.52%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.91%EV -13.79%E -8.84%K -24.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -21.03%E -5.84%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.73%EV -15.64%E -4.23%K -5.79%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 15:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.