L’École des cotes

Molde v Sarpsborg FK

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Molde (Local)

Prévision 55.25%1.81cote équitable
EV -6.07%
Avantage -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%55.40%55.15%57.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.671.7064.10%60.73%59.88%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.00%4.54cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.10%21.97%22.04%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.174.254.4327.78%23.99%23.53%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.75%4.40cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.453%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%22.63%22.81%23.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.034.004.3327.03%24.81%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.18%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.56%EV -2.53%E -0.571%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.26%EV -2.42%E -0.563%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 16:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.33%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.33%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:55
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:06
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 15:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 16:35
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 15:55
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.39%E -5.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.39%E -5.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -10.49%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.19%E -0.725%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -2.19%E -0.509%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -10.49%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.51%E -0.348%K -0.453%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:01
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.49%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 15:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.04%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -3.33%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:51
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -13.53%E -3.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -12.88%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.61%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 15:04
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.44%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -17.49%E -4.66%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 15:10
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -13.26%E -8.44%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.43%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.76%EV -13.26%E -8.44%K -23.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -16.39%E -4.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.91%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -20.79%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.73%EV -15.84%E -4.28%K -5.87%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 15:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.