Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Molde v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Score final : Molde 3–3 Sarpsborg FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Molde (Local)

Prévision 58.70%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.56%58.73%58.63%59.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.591.6766.67%62.95%62.89%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.20%5.21cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +0.849%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 5.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%19.22%19.25%21.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.674.655.4525.00%21.40%21.51%18.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.10%4.52cote équitable
EV -0.109%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.62%22.06%22.13%22.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.164.104.5225.64%24.07%24.39%22.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Molde (Local) : 58.70% ; Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur) : 19.20% ; Match nul : 22.10%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.21. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.45, soit une espérance positive de +4.63%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.59%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +4.63%E +0.849%K +1.04%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.91%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.87%EV +4.24%E +0.781%K +0.958%G +0.041%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.21%EV -3.42%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.92%EV +3.28%E +0.610%K +0.749%G +0.025%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.21%EV -4.09%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.63%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.06%EV +2.71%E +0.506%K +0.622%G +0.017%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.31%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -2.09%E -0.410%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:55
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.51%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.74%EV -3.05%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:49
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.69%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.42%EV -4.78%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.88%EV -6.96%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.18%EV -4.97%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 14:50
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.93%EV -8.43%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.03%EV -0.109%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:50
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:34
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:40
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -10.73%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.72%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -10.73%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -13.15%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:44
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 14:34
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.812%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:39
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.95%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.49%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.49%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -17.45%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.77%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -19.37%E -4.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 14:34
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -11.95%E -7.96%K -23.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-02 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:50
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-08-02 14:55