مدرسة الاحتمالات

Molde v Sarpsborg FK

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

نتيجة المباراة

34 شركة مراهنات (10 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Molde (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.25%1.81السعر العادل
EV -6.07%
الأفضلية -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.91%55.40%55.15%57.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.651.671.7064.10%60.73%59.88%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sarpsborg FK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.00%4.54السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -0.571%
Kelly -0.737%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.10%21.97%22.04%23.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.174.254.4327.78%23.99%23.53%22.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.75%4.40السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.348%
Kelly -0.453%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.40%22.63%22.81%23.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.034.004.3327.03%24.81%25.00%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (34 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.18%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.56%EV -2.53%E -0.571%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.26%EV -2.42%E -0.563%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 16:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.33%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.33%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:55
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:06
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 15:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 16:35
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 15:55
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.39%E -5.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.39%E -5.72%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -10.49%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.19%E -0.725%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -2.19%E -0.509%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -10.49%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.51%E -0.348%K -0.453%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:01
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.49%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 15:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.04%EV -11.05%E -6.86%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -3.33%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:51
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -13.53%E -3.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -12.88%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.61%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 15:04
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.44%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -17.49%E -4.66%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 15:10
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -13.26%E -8.44%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.43%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.76%EV -13.26%E -8.44%K -23.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -16.39%E -4.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.91%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -20.79%E -5.78%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.73%EV -15.84%E -4.28%K -5.87%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 15:06
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.