Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Molde v Sarpsborg FK

Início: 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Final: Molde 3–3 Sarpsborg FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Molde (Local)

Previsão 58.70%1.70odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.56%58.73%58.63%59.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.591.6766.67%62.95%62.89%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)

Previsão 19.20%5.21odd justa
EV +4.63%
Vantagem +0.849%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.048%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.82%19.22%19.25%21.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.674.655.4525.00%21.40%21.51%18.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.10%4.52odd justa
EV -0.109%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.62%22.06%22.13%22.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.164.104.5225.64%24.07%24.39%22.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Molde (Local): 58.70%; Sarpsborg FK (Visitante): 19.20%; Empate: 22.10%. Para Sarpsborg FK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.21. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.59%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +4.63%E +0.849%K +1.04%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.91%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.87%EV +4.24%E +0.781%K +0.958%G +0.041%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.21%EV -3.42%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.92%EV +3.28%E +0.610%K +0.749%G +0.025%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.21%EV -4.09%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.63%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.06%EV +2.71%E +0.506%K +0.622%G +0.017%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.31%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -2.09%E -0.410%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:55
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.51%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.74%EV -3.05%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:49
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.69%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.42%EV -4.78%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.88%EV -6.96%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.18%EV -4.97%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 14:50
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.93%EV -8.43%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.03%EV -0.109%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:50
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:34
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:40
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -10.73%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.72%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -10.73%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -13.15%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:44
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 14:34
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.812%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:39
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.95%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.49%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.49%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -17.45%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.77%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -19.37%E -4.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 14:34
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -11.95%E -7.96%K -23.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-02 14:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:50
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-08-02 14:55