Language:English
Lillestrom v IK Start
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lillestrom (Local)
Prediction 65.93%1.52fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +3.98%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.36%65.76%65.86%67.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.401.5575.19%70.22%71.43%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Start (Visit)
Prediction 15.14%6.61fair odd
EV +10.49%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.175%
assuming max odds 7.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.96%15.05%15.27%16.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.955.787.3018.52%16.81%17.32%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.93%5.28fair odd
EV -0.596%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.140%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.27%19.19%18.88%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.644.635.2525.00%21.57%21.62%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 65.93%; IK Start (Visit): 15.14%; Draw: 18.93%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.79%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.96%EV +10.49%E +1.44%K +1.67%G +0.175% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +5.95%E +0.850%K +0.992%G +0.059% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.15%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +1.71%E +0.255%K +0.300%G +0.005% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.45%EV -0.785%E -0.150%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV +0.654%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -22.37%E -5.46%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.52%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.43%E -0.538%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -8.17%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -3.89%E -0.612%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:28 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.82%EV -5.10%E -0.813%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.40%E -0.864%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.90%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.36%EV +2.19%E +1.41%K +3.98%G +0.087% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.26%EV -11.45%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.13%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.31%E -9.26%K -37.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -11.96%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.38%EV -11.65%E -8.70%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.37%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -13.85%E -3.04%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -24.26%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -18.58%E -4.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.93% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |