La scuola delle quote

Lillestrom v IK Start

Inizio: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lillestrom (Casa)

Previsione 65.93%1.52quota equa
EV +2.19%
Vantaggio +1.41%
Kelly +3.98%
Crescita +0.087%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.36%65.76%65.86%67.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.421.401.5575.19%70.22%71.43%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IK Start (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.14%6.61quota equa
EV +10.49%
Vantaggio +1.44%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescita +0.175%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.96%15.05%15.27%16.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.405.955.787.3018.52%16.81%17.32%13.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.93%5.28quota equa
EV -0.596%
Vantaggio -0.114%
Kelly -0.140%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.27%19.19%18.88%22.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.644.635.2525.00%21.57%21.62%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.79%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.96%EV +10.49%E +1.44%K +1.67%G +0.175%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +5.95%E +0.850%K +0.992%G +0.059%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:55
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.15%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +1.71%E +0.255%K +0.300%G +0.005%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.45%EV -0.785%E -0.150%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 11:55
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV +0.654%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 11:04
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:14
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:48
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:55
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -22.37%E -5.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:54
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.52%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.43%E -0.538%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -8.17%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:55
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -3.89%E -0.612%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:28
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.82%EV -5.10%E -0.813%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.40%E -0.864%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:13
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:50
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:55
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:14
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.90%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:04
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:49
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.36%EV +2.19%E +1.41%K +3.98%G +0.087%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.26%EV -11.45%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:50
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.13%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.31%E -9.26%K -37.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -11.96%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.38%EV -11.65%E -8.70%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.37%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -13.85%E -3.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:35
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 09:05
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:30
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -24.26%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 11:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -18.58%E -4.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.93%1.6%2026-04-11 11:50