La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lillestrom v IK Start
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 65.93%1.52momio equitativo
EV +2.19%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +3.98%
Crecimiento +0.087%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.36%65.76%65.86%67.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.401.5575.19%70.22%71.43%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IK Start (Visitante)
Predicción 15.14%6.61momio equitativo
EV +10.49%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.175%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.96%15.05%15.27%16.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.405.955.787.3018.52%16.81%17.32%13.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.93%5.28momio equitativo
EV -0.596%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.140%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.27%19.19%18.88%22.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.644.635.2525.00%21.57%21.62%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.79%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.96%EV +10.49%E +1.44%K +1.67%G +0.175% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +5.95%E +0.850%K +0.992%G +0.059% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.15%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +1.71%E +0.255%K +0.300%G +0.005% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.45%EV -0.785%E -0.150%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV +0.654%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:48 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -22.37%E -5.46%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.52%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.43%E -0.538%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -8.17%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -3.89%E -0.612%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:28 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.82%EV -5.10%E -0.813%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.40%E -0.864%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:13 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.90%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.36%EV +2.19%E +1.41%K +3.98%G +0.087% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.26%EV -11.45%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.13%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.31%E -9.26%K -37.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -11.96%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.38%EV -11.65%E -8.70%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.37%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -13.85%E -3.04%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 09:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -24.26%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -18.58%E -4.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.93% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |