مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lillestrom v IK Start

البداية: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lillestrom (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.93%1.52السعر العادل
EV +2.19%
الأفضلية +1.41%
Kelly +3.98%
النمو +0.087%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.36%65.76%65.86%67.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.421.401.5575.19%70.22%71.43%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IK Start (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.14%6.61السعر العادل
EV +10.49%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +1.67%
النمو +0.175%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.96%15.05%15.27%16.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.405.955.787.3018.52%16.81%17.32%13.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.93%5.28السعر العادل
EV -0.596%
الأفضلية -0.114%
Kelly -0.140%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.27%19.19%18.88%22.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.644.635.2525.00%21.57%21.62%19.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.79%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.96%EV +10.49%E +1.44%K +1.67%G +0.175%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +5.95%E +0.850%K +0.992%G +0.059%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:55
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.15%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.39%EV +1.71%E +0.255%K +0.300%G +0.005%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.45%EV -0.785%E -0.150%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 11:55
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV +0.654%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 11:04
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:14
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:48
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -9.68%E -7.06%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:55
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -1.62%E -0.249%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -22.37%E -5.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:54
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.52%EV -4.40%E -3.04%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.43%E -0.538%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -8.17%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:55
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -3.89%E -0.612%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:28
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.82%EV -5.10%E -0.813%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.40%E -0.864%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.49%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:13
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:50
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:55
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:14
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.90%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:04
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.18%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:49
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.36%EV +2.19%E +1.41%K +3.98%G +0.087%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.26%EV -11.45%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -19.53%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:50
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.12%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.13%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -12.21%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.31%E -9.26%K -37.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -12.97%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -11.96%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -8.36%E -6.01%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.38%EV -11.65%E -8.70%K -34.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.37%EV -13.73%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -13.85%E -3.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:35
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -1.10%E -0.737%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -14.80%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 09:05
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -1.76%E -1.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:30
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -15.24%E -2.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -16.69%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.46%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -17.64%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.06%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -16.75%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -24.26%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 11:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -18.58%E -4.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -18.27%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.01%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.93%1.6%2026-04-11 11:50