The School of Odds
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Aalesund v Vålerenga

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 33.70%2.97fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%33.77%33.68%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.702.752.8641.67%37.03%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vålerenga (Visit)

Prediction 42.25%2.37fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.68%42.19%42.18%43.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.2848.78%45.56%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -0.179%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%24.04%24.14%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.654.1529.41%26.75%27.40%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aalesund (Local): 33.70%; Vålerenga (Visit): 42.25%; Draw: 24.05%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.15, with an expected value of -0.179%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.41%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.70%EV -4.64%E -1.64%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.90%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.41%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.80%EV -0.179%E -0.043%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:45
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.41%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.80%EV -0.179%E -0.043%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.71%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.80%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.71%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.80%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:45
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.63%E -3.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.12%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:35
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.60%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.80%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.79%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 17:19
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.60%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.80%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.79%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.99%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:20
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -14.61%E -4.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.77%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.15%EV -12.69%E -3.49%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.41%E -3.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -11.38%E -4.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -11.38%E -4.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -7.90%E -3.62%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.71%E -4.47%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.79%E -0.947%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.71%E -4.47%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.60%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -12.39%E -4.76%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -14.07%E -5.52%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.27%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -12.21%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-09 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.87%EV -14.07%E -5.52%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.73%EV -10.43%E -4.92%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -18.22%E -5.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-09 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.76%E -6.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-09 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%EV -19.13%E -7.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -13.41%E -3.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-09 17:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 33.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%13.3%2026-08-09 17:35