L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Aalesund v Vålerenga

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 33.68%2.97cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.02%33.75%33.68%35.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.702.752.8641.67%37.01%36.36%34.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.27%2.37cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.68%42.25%42.26%43.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.202.2848.78%45.58%45.45%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.05%4.16cote équitable
EV -0.208%
Avantage -0.050%
Kelly -0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%24.01%24.06%25.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.743.674.1529.41%26.72%27.21%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aalesund (Local) : 33.68% ; Vålerenga (Visiteur) : 42.27% ; Match nul : 24.05%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.16. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.15, pour une espérance de -0.208% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.23%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.41%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.70%EV -4.68%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.39%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.90%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.41%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.80%EV -0.208%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:45
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.41%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.80%EV -0.208%E -0.050%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.71%EV -5.31%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.71%EV -5.31%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:45
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.02%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.58%E -2.98%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.14%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:35
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:35
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.81%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 17:19
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 17:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.81%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.99%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:20
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -14.64%E -4.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.77%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.15%EV -12.71%E -3.50%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.81%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -14.11%E -5.53%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.27%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -12.23%E -3.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-09 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.87%EV -14.11%E -5.53%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.73%EV -10.39%E -4.90%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -18.24%E -5.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-09 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-09 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%EV -19.16%E -7.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-09 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 33.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%13.3%2026-08-09 17:35