Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund v Vålerenga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 12:29 UTC

Score final : Aalesund 5–5 Vålerenga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 36.12%2.77cote équitable
EV +0.410%
Avantage +0.148%
Kelly +0.231%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.79%35.98%36.20%37.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.592.602.7843.48%38.54%38.46%35.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.43%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.735%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.59%39.50%39.42%40.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.302.4946.51%43.23%43.48%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.46%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.544%
Kelly -0.726%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.86%24.52%24.38%25.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.704.0028.57%26.82%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aalesund (Local) : 36.12% ; Vålerenga (Visiteur) : 39.43% ; Match nul : 24.46%. Pour Aalesund (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.77. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.78, soit une espérance positive de +0.410%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV +0.410%E +0.148%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.50%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:24
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.32%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 07:49
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.21%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.48%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -6.17%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.18%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -1.83%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.67%E -0.670%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:21
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:19
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:49
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.84%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.18%E -0.544%K -0.726%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:38
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 10:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:15
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:14
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 12:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 10:49
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:24
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-14 10:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -15.24%E -7.09%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:25
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-16 12:20