Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aalesund v Vålerenga

Inizio: 2026-08-16 12:29 UTC

Finale: Aalesund 5–5 Vålerenga

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aalesund (Casa)

Previsione 36.12%2.77quota equa
EV +0.410%
Vantaggio +0.148%
Kelly +0.231%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.79%35.98%36.20%37.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.592.602.7843.48%38.54%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Vålerenga (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.43%2.54quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -0.735%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.59%39.50%39.42%40.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.312.302.4946.51%43.23%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.46%4.09quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -0.726%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.86%24.52%24.38%25.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.733.704.0028.57%26.82%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aalesund (Casa): 36.12%; Vålerenga (Trasferta): 39.43%; Pareggio: 24.46%. Per Aalesund (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.77. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.78, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.410%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV +0.410%E +0.148%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.50%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:24
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.32%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 07:49
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.21%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.48%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -6.17%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.18%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -1.83%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.67%E -0.670%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:21
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:19
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:49
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.84%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.18%E -0.544%K -0.726%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:38
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 10:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:15
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:14
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 12:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 10:49
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:24
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-14 10:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -15.24%E -7.09%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:25
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-16 12:20