默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aalesund v Vålerenga

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 12:29 UTC

最终结果: Aalesund 5–5 Vålerenga

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aalesund (主队)

预测 36.12%2.77公平赔率
EV +0.410%
优势 +0.148%
Kelly +0.231%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.78

博彩公司预测分布
33.79%35.98%36.20%37.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.592.602.7843.48%38.54%38.46%35.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vålerenga (客队)

预测 39.43%2.54公平赔率
EV -1.83%
优势 -0.735%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.59%39.50%39.42%40.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.312.302.4946.51%43.23%43.48%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.46%4.09公平赔率
EV -2.18%
优势 -0.544%
Kelly -0.726%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.86%24.52%24.38%25.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.704.0028.57%26.82%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Aalesund (主队):36.12%;Vålerenga (客队):39.43%;平局:24.46%。 对于“Aalesund (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.77。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.78,对应+0.410%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV +0.410%E +0.148%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.50%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:24
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.32%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 07:49
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.21%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.48%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -6.17%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.18%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -1.83%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.67%E -0.670%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:21
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:19
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:49
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.84%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.18%E -0.544%K -0.726%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:38
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 10:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:15
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:14
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 12:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 10:49
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:24
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-14 10:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -15.24%E -7.09%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 18:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:25
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-16 12:20