StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aalesund v Vålerenga

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 12:29 UTC

Slutresultat: Aalesund 5–5 Vålerenga

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aalesund (Hemma)

Prognos 36.12%2.77rättvist odds
EV +0.410%
Fördel +0.148%
Kelly +0.231%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.79%35.98%36.20%37.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.592.602.7843.48%38.54%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vålerenga (Borta)

Prognos 39.43%2.54rättvist odds
EV -1.83%
Fördel -0.735%
Kelly -1.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.59%39.50%39.42%40.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.312.302.4946.51%43.23%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.46%4.09rättvist odds
EV -2.18%
Fördel -0.544%
Kelly -0.726%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.86%24.52%24.38%25.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.733.704.0028.57%26.82%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aalesund (Hemma): 36.12%; Vålerenga (Borta): 39.43%; Oavgjort: 24.46%. För Aalesund (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.77. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.78, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.410%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV +0.410%E +0.148%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.50%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:24
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -10.11%E -4.43%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.32%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 07:49
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.21%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.48%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -6.17%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.18%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.89%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:19
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -1.83%E -0.735%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.67%E -0.670%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.79%EV -14.05%E -6.45%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:21
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:19
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.84%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -9.02%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:49
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.84%EV -6.81%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.18%E -0.544%K -0.726%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:38
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 10:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:15
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 05:14
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 12:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 10:49
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:24
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -11.29%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-14 10:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -16.93%E -7.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -15.24%E -7.09%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 18:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:25
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-16 12:15
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-16 12:20