The School of OddsAalesund v Molde
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Aalesund (Local)
Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV -0.337%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.24%29.14%30.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.103.4236%32%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Molde (Visit)
Prediction 45.84%2.18fair odd
EV +0.842%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.702%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.12%45.78%45.82%47.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.872.032.042.2053%49%49%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 25.02%4.00fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.98%25.04%26.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.653.9229%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV +0.842%E +0.383%K +0.702%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 06:35 |
| GTbets | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.83%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 03:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-09 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -0.337%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -1.92%E -0.489%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.43%EV -2.09%E -0.621%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-07 14:25 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 13:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| BetAnything | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:43 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 13:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:45 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -15.49%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-11 13:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 13:45 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -14.28%E -7.64%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 13:50 |