مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aalesund v Molde

البداية: 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Aalesund 2–2 Molde

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aalesund (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.14%3.43السعر العادل
EV -0.337%
الأفضلية -0.098%
Kelly -0.139%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.31%29.24%29.14%30.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.133.103.4235.71%31.91%32.26%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Molde (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.84%2.18السعر العادل
EV +0.842%
الأفضلية +0.383%
Kelly +0.702%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.12%45.78%45.82%47.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.872.032.042.2053.48%49.38%49.02%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.02%4.00السعر العادل
EV -1.92%
الأفضلية -0.489%
Kelly -0.656%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.02%24.98%25.04%26.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.673.653.9228.99%27.23%27.40%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV +0.842%E +0.383%K +0.702%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 06:35
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.83%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 03:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 14:35
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:49
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:30
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -0.337%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -1.92%E -0.489%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 13:55
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.43%EV -2.09%E -0.621%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 13:39
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 14:25
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 13:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 13:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:34
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:34
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 11:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:34
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 13:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 13:44
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:34
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:43
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 13:44
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:39
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:34
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -15.49%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 13:19
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 13:44
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:49
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-07 14:19
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 13:49
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 13:44
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-11 13:34
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-11 13:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -14.28%E -7.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-11 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:49
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-07-11 13:50