Школа коэффициентов

Aalesund v Molde

Начало: 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC

Итог: Aalesund 2–2 Molde

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Aalesund (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.14%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.337%
Преимущество -0.098%
Kelly -0.139%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.31%29.24%29.14%30.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.133.103.4235.71%31.91%32.26%29.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Molde (Гости)

Прогноз 45.84%2.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.842%
Преимущество +0.383%
Kelly +0.702%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.12%45.78%45.82%47.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.872.032.042.2053.48%49.38%49.02%45.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.02%4.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.92%
Преимущество -0.489%
Kelly -0.656%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.92

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.02%24.98%25.04%26.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.453.673.653.9228.99%27.23%27.40%25.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV +0.842%E +0.383%K +0.702%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 06:35
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.83%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 03:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 14:35
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:49
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:30
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -0.337%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -1.92%E -0.489%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 13:55
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.43%EV -2.09%E -0.621%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 13:39
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 14:25
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 13:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 13:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:34
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:34
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 11:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:34
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 13:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 13:44
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:34
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:43
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 13:44
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:39
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:34
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -15.49%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 13:19
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 13:44
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:49
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-07 14:19
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 13:49
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 13:44
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-11 13:34
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-11 13:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -14.28%E -7.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-11 13:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:49
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-07-11 13:50