L’École des cotes

Aalesund v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Aalesund 2–2 Molde

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.337%
Avantage -0.098%
Kelly -0.139%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%29.24%29.14%30.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.103.4235.71%31.91%32.26%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.84%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.842%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.702%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.12%45.78%45.82%47.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.032.042.2053.48%49.38%49.02%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.02%4.00cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.02%24.98%25.04%26.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.673.653.9228.99%27.23%27.40%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV +0.842%E +0.383%K +0.702%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 06:35
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.83%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 03:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 14:35
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:49
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:20
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:19
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 14:30
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -0.337%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -1.92%E -0.489%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 13:55
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.43%EV -2.09%E -0.621%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 13:39
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 14:25
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 13:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 13:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:34
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 13:34
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 11:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:34
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 13:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 13:44
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:34
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:43
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 13:44
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:39
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:34
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:44
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -15.49%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 13:19
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 13:44
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:49
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-07 14:19
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:45
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 13:49
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 13:44
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-11 13:34
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-11 13:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -14.28%E -7.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-11 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:49
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-07-11 13:50