La escuela de los momiosAalesund v Molde
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aalesund (Local)
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.337%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.139%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%29.24%29.14%30.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.103.4235.71%31.91%32.26%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Molde (Visitante)
Predicción 45.84%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.842%
Ventaja +0.383%
Kelly +0.702%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.12%45.78%45.82%47.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.032.042.2053.48%49.38%49.02%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.02%4.00momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.656%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%24.98%25.04%26.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.673.653.9228.99%27.23%27.40%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV +0.842%E +0.383%K +0.702%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 06:35 |
| GTbets | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.83%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 03:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-09 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.38%E -0.709%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -0.337%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -1.92%E -0.489%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.43%EV -2.09%E -0.621%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-07 14:25 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 13:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| BetAnything | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -7.87%E -3.91%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:43 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 13:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:45 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -15.49%E -5.34%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-11 13:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 13:45 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.62%E -5.44%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.03%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.53%E -5.98%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -14.28%E -7.64%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-11 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 13:50 |