Language:English
Aalesund v IK Start
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aalesund (Local)
Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.06%44.80%44.87%46.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.77%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Start (Visit)
Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.69%30.86%30.73%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.903.2037.04%33.93%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.36%4.10fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.850%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.34%24.40%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.78%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 44.92%; IK Start (Visit): 30.72%; Draw: 24.36%. For Aalesund (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -2.55%E -0.637%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.71%E -0.533%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV -2.79%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.52%EV -3.86%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.91%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -4.16%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -7.91%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |