StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aalesund v IK Start

Matchstart: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Aalesund 2–0 IK Start

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aalesund (Hemma)

Prognos 44.92%2.23rättvist odds
EV -1.18%
Fördel -0.534%
Kelly -0.979%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.06%44.80%44.87%46.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.77%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IK Start (Borta)

Prognos 30.72%3.26rättvist odds
EV -1.71%
Fördel -0.533%
Kelly -0.775%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.69%30.86%30.73%32.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.952.903.2037.04%33.93%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.36%4.10rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -0.637%
Kelly -0.850%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.33%24.34%24.40%25.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.78%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aalesund (Hemma): 44.92%; IK Start (Borta): 30.72%; Oavgjort: 24.36%. För Aalesund (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.23. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.20, med väntevärdet -1.18%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -2.55%E -0.637%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 11:10
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 06:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.71%E -0.533%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV -2.79%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.52%EV -3.86%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 09:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:28
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:25
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.91%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:04
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:04
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 06:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -4.16%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -7.91%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:33
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-04 06:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-09-04 14:20