Idioma:Español
Aalesund v IK Start
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aalesund (Local)
Predicción 44.92%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.06%44.80%44.87%46.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.77%48.08%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IK Start (Visitante)
Predicción 30.72%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.69%30.86%30.73%32.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.903.2037.04%33.93%34.48%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.36%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.637%
Kelly -0.850%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.34%24.40%25.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.78%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aalesund (Local): 44.92%; IK Start (Visitante): 30.72%; Empate: 24.36%. Para Aalesund (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.20, con un valor esperado de -1.18%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -2.55%E -0.637%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.71%E -0.533%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV -2.79%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.52%EV -3.86%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.91%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -4.16%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -7.91%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |