默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aalesund v IK Start

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Aalesund 2–0 IK Start

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aalesund (主队)

预测 44.92%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.534%
Kelly -0.979%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.06%44.80%44.87%46.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.77%48.08%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

IK Start (客队)

预测 30.72%3.26公平赔率
EV -1.71%
优势 -0.533%
Kelly -0.775%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.69%30.86%30.73%32.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.952.903.2037.04%33.93%34.48%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.36%4.10公平赔率
EV -2.55%
优势 -0.637%
Kelly -0.850%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.33%24.34%24.40%25.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.78%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Aalesund (主队):44.92%;IK Start (客队):30.72%;平局:24.36%。 对于“Aalesund (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.20,期望值为-1.18%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -2.55%E -0.637%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 11:10
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 06:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.71%E -0.533%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV -2.79%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.52%EV -3.86%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 09:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:28
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:25
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.91%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:04
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:04
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 06:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -4.16%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -7.91%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:33
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-04 06:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-09-04 14:20