Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund v IK Start

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Aalesund 2–0 IK Start

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 44.92%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.979%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.06%44.80%44.87%46.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.77%48.08%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IK Start (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.72%3.26cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.69%30.86%30.73%32.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.903.2037.04%33.93%34.48%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.36%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -0.850%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.33%24.34%24.40%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.78%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aalesund (Local) : 44.92% ; IK Start (Visiteur) : 30.72% ; Match nul : 24.36%. Pour Aalesund (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.23. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.20, pour une espérance de -1.18% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -1.18%E -0.534%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -2.55%E -0.637%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 11:10
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 06:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.71%E -0.533%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV -2.79%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.52%EV -3.86%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -13.51%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 09:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:28
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.92%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:25
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -17.06%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.91%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.08%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -6.01%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:04
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.54%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:04
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 06:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -4.16%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -7.91%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:33
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -12.46%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.78%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.85%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -15.53%E -5.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-04 06:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-09-04 14:20