Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.30
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 4.82
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Cambuur (Local): 19.76%; NEC Nijmegen (Visit): 59.25%; Draw: 20.99%. For SC Cambuur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV +0.758%E +0.149%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.94%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -1.81%E -0.364%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -13.93%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.91%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -8.13%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.61%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.88%EV +1.18%E +0.245%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -12.08%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.15%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.05%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |