Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen

Início: 2026-09-12 19:00 UTC

Final: SC Cambuur 3–0 NEC Nijmegen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Previsão 19.76%5.06odd justa
EV +4.71%
Vantagem +0.889%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.93%19.74%19.82%21.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.774.755.3023.81%20.98%21.05%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

NEC Nijmegen (Visitante)

Previsão 59.25%1.69odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%59.21%59.21%61.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.79%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.99%4.76odd justa
EV +1.18%
Vantagem +0.245%
Kelly +0.309%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.88%21.05%20.97%22.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.414.434.8225.00%22.70%22.60%20.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SC Cambuur (Local): 19.76%; NEC Nijmegen (Visitante): 59.25%; Empate: 20.99%. Para SC Cambuur (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.06. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.71%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV +0.758%E +0.149%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.94%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:20
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:00
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Pinnacle🎯4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -1.81%E -0.364%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 18:56
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:35
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:41
BetOnline.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:40
Bovada🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:49
BetUS🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:05
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -13.93%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:56
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.91%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -8.13%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:04
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:30
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:30
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.61%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:35
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 18:45
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.88%EV +1.18%E +0.245%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:45
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 18:35
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -12.08%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.15%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.05%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 18:56
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.8%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.8%2026-09-12 18:56
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-09-12 18:56
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-09-12 18:56