Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 19:00 UTC

Score final : SC Cambuur 3–0 NEC Nijmegen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Prévision 19.76%5.06cote équitable
EV +4.71%
Avantage +0.889%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.93%19.74%19.82%21.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.774.755.3023.81%20.98%21.05%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.25%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%59.21%59.21%61.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.79%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.99%4.76cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.245%
Kelly +0.309%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.88%21.05%20.97%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.414.434.8225.00%22.70%22.60%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Cambuur (Local) : 19.76% ; NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur) : 59.25% ; Match nul : 20.99%. Pour SC Cambuur (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.06. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +4.71%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV +0.758%E +0.149%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.94%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:20
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:00
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Pinnacle🎯4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -1.81%E -0.364%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 18:56
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:35
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:41
BetOnline.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:40
Bovada🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:49
BetUS🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:05
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -13.93%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:56
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.91%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -8.13%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:04
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:30
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:30
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.61%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:35
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 18:45
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.88%EV +1.18%E +0.245%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:45
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 18:35
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -12.08%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.15%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.05%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 18:56
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.8%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.8%2026-09-12 18:56
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-09-12 18:56
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-09-12 18:56