Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

SC Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen

Начало: 2026-09-12 19:00 UTC

Итог: SC Cambuur 3–0 NEC Nijmegen

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

SC Cambuur (Хозяева)

Прогноз 19.76%5.06справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.71%
Преимущество +0.889%
Kelly +1.10%
Рост +0.052%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.93%19.74%19.82%21.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.774.755.3023.81%20.98%21.05%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

NEC Nijmegen (Гости)

Прогноз 59.25%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.23%
Преимущество -1.35%
Kelly -3.44%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.59%59.21%59.21%61.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.79%63.69%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.99%4.76справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.18%
Преимущество +0.245%
Kelly +0.309%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.88%21.05%20.97%22.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.414.434.8225.00%22.70%22.60%20.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: SC Cambuur (Хозяева): 19.76%; NEC Nijmegen (Гости): 59.25%; Ничья: 20.99%. Для исхода «SC Cambuur (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.06. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.71%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.60%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV +4.71%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV +0.760%E +0.158%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV +0.758%E +0.149%K +0.185%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.94%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:20
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:00
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:20
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Pinnacle🎯4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -1.81%E -0.364%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -3.44%E -0.748%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 18:56
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:35
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.88%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.19%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:41
BetOnline.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.26%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.06%EV -4.91%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:40
Bovada🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:49
BetUS🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -4.18%E -0.862%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:05
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -13.93%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:56
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.91%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -8.13%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.59%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:04
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:30
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.64%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:30
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 15:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.61%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -10.79%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:35
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 18:45
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.15%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.88%EV +1.18%E +0.245%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:45
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -11.12%E -7.41%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.69%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 18:35
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -12.08%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.15%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -9.74%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.05%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -11.84%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 18:56
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.11%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 18:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.8%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.8%2026-09-12 18:56
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-09-12 18:56
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-09-12 18:56