The School of Odds
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Heerenveen v SC Telstar

2026-09-13 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Heerenveen (Local)

Prediction 51.30%1.95fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.55%51.29%51.30%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.791.8558.82%56.21%56.02%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Telstar (Visit)

Prediction 25.62%3.90fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.822%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.39%25.62%26.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.673.654.0030.77%27.24%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.57%23.32%23.09%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.893.884.1027.03%25.72%25.81%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Heerenveen (Local): 51.30%; SC Telstar (Visit): 25.62%; Draw: 23.09%. For SC Telstar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +2.47%E +0.616%K +0.822%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +2.47%E +0.616%K +0.822%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +2.47%E +0.616%K +0.822%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 22:29
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.04%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -0.096%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.66%E -0.699%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 22:29
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.66%E -0.699%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 22:29
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.66%E -0.699%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.80%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 22:28
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -11.11%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -12.26%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 22:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.65%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.42%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 22:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -12.29%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -12.14%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.26%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 22:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.17%EV -11.77%E -6.84%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.18%E -4.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -9.95%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.55%EV -11.77%E -6.84%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -14.18%E -4.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -14.57%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75%EV -12.80%E -7.53%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -12.26%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-30 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.