默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Heerenveen v SC Telstar

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC

最终结果: Heerenveen 0–0 SC Telstar

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Heerenveen (主队)

预测 58.73%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -3.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
56.97%58.72%58.77%60.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.36%63.69%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

SC Telstar (客队)

预测 19.94%5.01公平赔率
EV +5.70%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.076%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
18.30%19.98%19.88%22.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.704.705.3024.39%21.28%21.28%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.32%4.69公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -0.414%
Kelly -0.529%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.22%21.30%21.35%22.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.344.334.6025.64%23.06%23.09%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Heerenveen (主队):58.73%;SC Telstar (客队):19.94%;平局:21.32%。 对于“SC Telstar (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.01。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.30,对应+5.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.62%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +5.70%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.076%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.71%E +0.713%K +0.883%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.71%E +0.713%K +0.883%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV +1.71%E +0.336%K +0.418%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.281%E -0.056%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.97%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -3.27%E -0.675%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.04%EV -2.51%E -1.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.91%EV -3.47%E -0.717%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.05%EV -6.81%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 12:16
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:26
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:26
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 12:20
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 12:17
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -11.32%E -7.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.70%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.73%E -7.06%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 12:26
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 12:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -11.32%E -7.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.72%EV -10.73%E -7.06%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -13.24%E -3.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:15
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -8.97%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -16.83%E -4.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -18.23%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -18.23%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 12:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.52%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-09-13 12:10