Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Heerenveen v SC Telstar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC

Score final : Heerenveen 0–0 SC Telstar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Heerenveen (Local)

Prévision 58.73%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.97%58.72%58.77%60.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.36%63.69%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Telstar (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.94%5.01cote équitable
EV +5.70%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.30%19.98%19.88%22.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.704.705.3024.39%21.28%21.28%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.32%4.69cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.414%
Kelly -0.529%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.22%21.30%21.35%22.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.344.334.6025.64%23.06%23.09%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Heerenveen (Local) : 58.73% ; SC Telstar (Visiteur) : 19.94% ; Match nul : 21.32%. Pour SC Telstar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.01. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +5.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.62%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +5.70%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.076%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.71%E +0.713%K +0.883%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.71%E +0.713%K +0.883%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV +1.71%E +0.336%K +0.418%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.281%E -0.056%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.97%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -3.27%E -0.675%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.04%EV -2.51%E -1.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.91%EV -3.47%E -0.717%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.05%EV -6.81%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 12:16
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:26
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:26
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 12:20
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 12:17
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -11.32%E -7.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.70%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.73%E -7.06%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 12:26
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 12:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -11.32%E -7.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.72%EV -10.73%E -7.06%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -13.24%E -3.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:15
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -8.97%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -16.83%E -4.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -18.23%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -18.23%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.52%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-09-13 12:10