Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Heerenveen v SC Telstar

Начало: 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC

Итог: Heerenveen 0–0 SC Telstar

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Heerenveen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.73%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.51%
Преимущество -1.51%
Kelly -3.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.66

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.97%58.72%58.77%60.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.36%63.69%60.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

SC Telstar (Гости)

Прогноз 19.94%5.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.70%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.33%
Рост +0.076%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.30%19.98%19.88%22.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.704.705.3024.39%21.28%21.28%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 21.32%4.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.91%
Преимущество -0.414%
Kelly -0.529%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.22%21.30%21.35%22.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.344.334.6025.64%23.06%23.09%21.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Heerenveen (Хозяева): 58.73%; SC Telstar (Гости): 19.94%; Ничья: 21.32%. Для исхода «SC Telstar (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.01. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.70%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.62%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +5.70%E +1.08%K +1.33%G +0.076%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.71%E +0.713%K +0.883%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.86%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +3.71%E +0.713%K +0.883%G +0.033%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV +1.71%E +0.336%K +0.418%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -6.62%E -4.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -0.281%E -0.056%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.63%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.97%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -2.28%E -0.464%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.51%EV -2.87%E -0.590%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -3.27%E -0.675%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.04%EV -2.51%E -1.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.91%EV -3.47%E -0.717%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.05%EV -6.81%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 12:16
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:26
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:26
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 12:20
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -9.55%E -6.20%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 12:17
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -11.32%E -7.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -6.26%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.91%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.57%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.70%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.73%E -7.06%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.25%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 12:26
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 12:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -11.32%E -7.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.72%EV -10.73%E -7.06%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -13.24%E -3.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:15
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:16
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.44%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -8.97%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.64%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -16.83%E -4.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -18.23%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -18.23%E -4.45%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 12:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.52%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-09-13 12:10