默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 12:30 UTC

最终结果: Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Heerenveen (主队)

预测 25.23%3.96公平赔率
EV +5.73%
优势 +1.37%
Kelly +1.80%
增长率 +0.103%

假设最高赔率为 4.19

博彩公司预测分布
23.10%25.30%25.23%26.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.693.704.1930.30%27.12%27.03%23.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

AZ Alkmaar (客队)

预测 51.41%1.95公平赔率
EV -2.31%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -2.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
49.77%51.32%51.39%53.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.821.831.9058.82%54.97%54.79%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.35%4.28公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.457%
Kelly -0.599%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.91%23.38%23.39%24.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.963.984.2027.03%25.28%25.16%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Heerenveen (主队):25.23%;AZ Alkmaar (客队):51.41%;平局:23.35%。 对于“Heerenveen (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.19,对应+5.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 23.10%EV +5.73%E +1.37%K +1.80%G +0.103%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%EV -6.43%E -3.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.72%EV -4.72%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 12:25
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -0.834%E -0.212%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.21%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.85%E -0.685%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -1.59%E -0.408%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.34%E -1.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 12:14
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.59%E -0.408%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:15
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:15
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:15
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:25
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:25
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 12:14
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:19
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:25
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 12:25
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -2.31%E -1.22%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:15
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:15
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.97%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -9.39%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -6.43%E -3.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 12:14
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:25
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.40%E -2.93%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:25
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:15
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -8.48%E -4.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -8.48%E -4.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -8.48%E -4.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.93%EV -11.57%E -6.73%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 12:20
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 12:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -12.95%E -3.75%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -6.43%E -3.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 12:19
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:14
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -16.73%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -12.60%E -7.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 12:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%2.1%2026-09-06 12:25