Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar

2026-09-06 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Heerenveen (Casa)

Previsione 24.15%4.14quota equa
EV +0.725%
Vantaggio +0.174%
Kelly +0.229%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.97%24.14%24.07%26.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.803.804.1730.30%26.30%26.32%23.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.11%1.88quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.19%53.12%53.21%55.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.741.751.8361.73%57.33%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.73%4.40quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.414%
Kelly -0.538%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.78%22.74%22.71%23.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.034.004.3227.78%24.84%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Heerenveen (Casa): 24.15%; AZ Alkmaar (Trasferta): 53.11%; Pareggio: 22.73%. Per Heerenveen (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.14. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.17, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.725%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV +0.725%E +0.174%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.95%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -2.17%E -0.537%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.93%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:25
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:40
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 15:40
Pinnacle🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.59%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.97%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -1.79%E -0.414%K -0.538%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 15:50
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 22.97%EV -6.28%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -13.96%E -8.62%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -7.93%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:55
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.00%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:45
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.00%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:25
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:25
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:25
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 19:09
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:25
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.30%E -6.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 15:40
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.42%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.42%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -11.84%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 16:00
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -15.46%E -4.42%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.30%E -6.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.16%E -5.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-30 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -17.87%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -14.75%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -19.08%E -5.70%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -20.29%E -6.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.40%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.43%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 15:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-08-30 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.3%2026-08-30 16:45
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 28.57%1.75I 57.14%NM 45.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 26.04%25.9%2026-08-30 17:15