Idioma:Español
Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar
Resultado del partido
Heerenveen (Local)
Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV +0.725%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.229%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.97%24.14%24.07%26.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.803.804.1730.30%26.30%26.32%23.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)
Predicción 53.11%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.19%53.12%53.21%55.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.751.8361.73%57.33%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.73%4.40momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.414%
Kelly -0.538%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.78%22.74%22.71%23.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.034.004.3227.78%24.84%25.00%23.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Heerenveen (Local): 24.15%; AZ Alkmaar (Visitante): 53.11%; Empate: 22.73%. Para Heerenveen (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.14. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.17, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.725%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV +0.725%E +0.174%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.95%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -2.17%E -0.537%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.93%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.38%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.59%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.97%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -1.79%E -0.414%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.97%EV -6.28%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -13.96%E -8.62%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -7.93%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.00%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.00%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.30%E -6.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.42%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.42%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -11.84%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -15.46%E -4.42%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.30%E -6.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.16%E -5.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -17.87%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -14.75%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -19.08%E -5.70%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-30 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -20.29%E -6.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.40%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.43%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 28.57% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 45.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 26.04% | 25.9% | 2026-08-30 17:15 |