StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 12:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Heerenveen (Hemma)

Prognos 25.23%3.96rättvist odds
EV +5.73%
Fördel +1.37%
Kelly +1.80%
Tillväxt +0.103%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.19

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.10%25.30%25.23%26.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.693.704.1930.30%27.12%27.03%23.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Borta)

Prognos 51.41%1.95rättvist odds
EV -2.31%
Fördel -1.22%
Kelly -2.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.77%51.32%51.39%53.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.821.831.9058.82%54.97%54.79%52.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.35%4.28rättvist odds
EV -1.92%
Fördel -0.457%
Kelly -0.599%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.91%23.38%23.39%24.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.703.963.984.2027.03%25.28%25.16%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Heerenveen (Hemma): 25.23%; AZ Alkmaar (Borta): 51.41%; Oavgjort: 23.35%. För Heerenveen (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.96. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.19, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 23.10%EV +5.73%E +1.37%K +1.80%G +0.103%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%EV -6.43%E -3.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.72%EV -4.72%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 12:25
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -0.834%E -0.212%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.21%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.85%E -0.685%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -1.59%E -0.408%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.34%E -1.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 12:14
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.59%E -0.408%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:15
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:15
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:15
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:25
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:25
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 12:14
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:19
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:25
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 12:25
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:25
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -2.31%E -1.22%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:15
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:15
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.97%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -9.39%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -6.43%E -3.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 12:14
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:25
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.40%E -2.93%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:25
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:15
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -8.48%E -4.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -8.48%E -4.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -8.48%E -4.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.42%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.93%EV -11.57%E -6.73%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 12:20
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 12:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -12.95%E -3.75%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -6.43%E -3.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 12:19
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.46%E -4.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:14
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -16.73%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -12.60%E -7.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%2.1%2026-09-06 12:25